• Text size      
  • Send this article to a friend
  • Print this article

Scotland's population set to rise by 9% over next 25 years

Scotland's population is projected to rise by around 9% over the next 25 years, with the greatest increases in Aberdeen and Edinburgh.

Statistics from the National Records of Scotland (NRS) show the populations of 20 of the 32 council areas in Scotland are projected to increase, while the populations in the other 12 are expected to decrease.

The projections suggest the country's population will grow from 5.31 million in 2012 to 5.78 million in 2037.

Edinburgh and Aberdeen both face rises of 28%, and Perth and Kinross faces a 24% increase, while Inverclyde, at -19%, and Argyll & Bute, at -13%, have the largest projected decreases.

The population is also projected to age, with an increase in people of pensionable age across all council areas to a greater or lesser extent.

The projections use certain assumptions about future fertility, mortality and migration, and are largely based on past trends.

They also reflect past policy and economic impacts, although they do not take account of future changes that may occur as a result of policy initiatives at a local or national level.

In addition to its "principle projection", NRS has also produced seven alternative variants, which take into account different levels of migration, fertility and life expectancy.

All the variants show Scotland's population ageing significantly over the next 25 years.

Contextual targeting label: 
Finance

Commenting & Moderation

We moderate all comments on HeraldScotland on either a pre-moderated or post-moderated basis.
If you're a relatively new user then your comments will be reviewed before publication and if we know you well and trust you then your comments will be subject to moderation only if other users or the moderators believe you've broken the rules

Moderation is undertaken full-time 9am-6pm on weekdays, and on a part-time basis outwith those hours. Please be patient if your posts are not approved instantly.

233392