a bet on something else entirely. It can be said with some certainty that international football is not a favourite of this column. It requires merely a quick recall of last month's 1-0 win for Northern Ireland over Russia as proof of why it tends to give gamblers the yips.
Russia were something around 1/3 to beat Michael O'Neill's side at Windsor Park, not least because the Irish hadn't won since the former Dundee United and Hibernian midfielder took over in December 2011 - a full nine matches. In essence, it all comes down to prices, thus it requires a betting slip resembling a list of entrants for the EuroVision Song Contest to actually make gambling on international football a profitable exercise and that's only if the minnows don't turn out to be piranhas in disguise and take a big chunk out of the sharks.
Anyway, enough of this tortured marine analogy. It's bad enough admitting my failures to myself without broadcasting them ad nauseam. Instead, we'll be looking at the F1 as the season enters its final laps. This weekend, the tifosi will be in full voice at Monza for the Italian Grand Prix in anticipation of a win for Ferrari.
The track at Monza is not conventional. It is old and narrow and favours cars with the best straight line speed and low down force. This is a negative for Red Bull and a positive for Ferrari, good news for the newly reconfigured McLaren but no so much for the Lotus. That said, the Red Bull is such a good all-rounder it is impossible to rule it out based on such a small downside, while Mercedes have refined this area and Lewis Hamilton should be in contention once more.
What is the significance of straight line speed and low down force? Well, Sebastian Vettel won last month's Belgian Grand Prix at a canter but was followed home by Fernando Alonso who came from ninth place to take second.
If the latter can improve in qualifying then his hopes of a win will be greatly enhanced. Furthermore, Monza plays into the Ferrari's hands even more than Spa did, so there is every reason to believe the Spaniard will give the German a more stringent test this time.
A victory is imperative if Alonso is to prevent Vettel claiming a third successive drivers' championship and he will take some heart from Red Bull's double withdrawal in this race last season, as well as his team's rich history of winning it - 19 times in total.
Alonso to win is a general price of 4/1 pre- qualifying and is worthy of consideration despite Ferrari not having won here since 2010. Perhaps of greater significance is that Red Bull have a poor record at Monza with just one win while the Spaniard has two victories of his own in different cars.
So, too, does Vettel but we're looking for some value and at 7/4 the German doesn't represent it, given some of the concerns Monza presents. Jenson Button is 6/4 for a top-six finish, a feat he has achieved in three of his last six races in an ever-improving car that will be well suited by the track.
There are small signs that the losing habit has returned given the results of the last two weekends. Nevertheless, with a week to go until the profit margins return to zero The Tenner Bet will end another year in the black. The total stands at £188.46