WITHIN days of his landslide victory in last May's Parliamentary elections Alex Salmond was in Glasgow firing warning shots at Labour over the Commonwealth Games.

The significance was clear: Glasgow was next on the SNP's list. For the first time in a generation Glasgow has a contest in the local elections and the stakes are massive.

If the SNP unseats Labour for the first time since the 1970s there is the symbolism of taking the scalp of its bitterest foe in one of its last heartlands. But it would also give the Nationalists the key to the engine room of Scotland's economy, provide a platform for the independence referendum and gain the kudos of hosting the 2014 Games.

Both the SNP and Labour are fielding around 45 candidates, enough for an overall majority. But some believe that while Labour might end up as the largest party, they could be ousted by an SNP-led coalition.

One thing is clearer. Win or lose, these next few weeks are in all likelihood the last in the job for current council leader Gordon Matheson, who has failed to hold together the Labour administration after the spectacular demise of his predecessor Steven Purcell and the fall-out from it.

On his watch, Labour has lost its majority for the first time in almost 40 years, while de-selected Labour councillors have formed a breakaway party, Glasgow First.

The likely return of ex-Scottish Executive minister Frank McAveety to the City Chambers, the increasing profile of Stephen Curran, the "acceptable face of Glasgow Labour" and the ambition and abilities of Paul Rooney all suggest a new leader.

The SNP would also have leadership issues of its own. Allison Hunter has been singled out by Labour as the SNP's weak link.

Others who may have formed the core of an SNP administration are either in Holyrood, other parties or are leaving frontline politics. Inevitably the Nationalists face allegations they are being directed by ministers, chiefly Deputy First Minister Nicola Sturgeon and Local Government Minister Derek Mackay.

The demise of the LibDems in Glasgow may also be exaggerated. The consensus is that on a recent television hustings the group's leader Paul Coleshill was the most polished performer and astutely mentioned his local party was not being steered by Edinburgh or London.

They, or even the odd Tory or some Greens, could hold the balance of power.

Dr Neil McGarvey, of Strathclyde University's politics department, said: "Given the profile and power of the SNP leadership you imagine Sturgeon will be playing a more significant role in Glasgow if the SNP are elected.

"The voting system makes things tricky, especially with Glasgow First now in the mix, and it could all come down to what people do with their second, third and fourth preferences."